Warning Florida Republicans: Pollster warns GOP not to count on six-year inch

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GOP pollster Neil Newhouse is warning Republicans to beware of President Obama’s use of the bully pulpit this election cycle, Roll Call reports. 

He also suggested they not count on the six-year itch.

“I kind of emphasized to the members that second midterm elections have never been friendly to the president, said Newhouse. “You can’t count on that. That’s not going to happen. We’ve got to realize that the House Republicans are going to be Obama’s top target.”

This is a message I am already preaching to my Republican political clients in Florida, especially with Charlie Crist expected to be at the top of the ballot for the Democrats.

Sure, sure, the Florida GOP has traditionally dominated non-presidential election cycles in the state. But that’s only true until it’s not. A popular president; a minority party that is, at the national level, out of sync with the electorate; the least popular governor in the country. All of these are factors which could turn conventional wisdom on its head in Florida in 2014.

Of course, Newhouse is also the pollster who thought Mitt Romney was going to win Ohio last November.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.