Why Romney shouldn't have been surprised he lost

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Nate Silver notes that Republicans probably shouldn’t have been shocked that Mitt Romney lost the presidential election even though his own polls showed him ahead.

“When public polls conducted by independent organizations clash with the internal polls released by campaigns, the public polls usually prove more reliable… My database of campaign polls released to the public in United States House races found that they were about six points more favorable to their candidate than independent surveys on average — and that they were typically less accurate in the end.”

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.