Hopefully, this is the last time I have to write this post.
In case there was still any doubt about the veracity of the survey numbers provided by St. Pete Polls, just take a look at the results from yesterday’s election in House District 2.
With all precincts counted, Mike Hill had 3,476 votes, or 42.1 percent of the total, according to the state Division of Elections website. His only close competitor was former Gulf Breeze Mayor Ed Gray, who captured 2,766 votes, or 33.5 percent. None of the other four Republicans in the race topped 10 percent.
On Saturday, St. Pete Polls released fresh data showing Hill with a twelve-point lead over Gray. While the final number was closer than that, it still was within St. Pete Poll’s margin of error for this race.
Meaning, St. Pete Polls was right again. Just as it was right about Gainesville’s mayoral election.
I had to write this post because, during the campaign for HD 2, one consultant made a comment about St. Pete Polls being “junk science.”
After the 2012 elections, I wrote this analysis about St. Pete Polls’ numbers vs. actual results and determined, “Its results in the most important races outweigh its askew numbers in down-ballot campaigns. Moreover, the residents and voters involved in these races should be grateful for St. Pete Polls’ contribution to the public debate.”
In other words, when I commission St. Pete Polls to survey the St. Pete mayoral race and the numbers come back deadlocked (as I did last month). The race is freakin’ deadlocked.