Ausman: Clendenin up 2-1, but many votes undeclared

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Jon Ausman, who has developed a reputation among Florida Democrats as a master statistician and analyst of party rules, has put out an analysis showing Alan Clendenin up more than 2-1 among Democratic Executive Committee members who have declared their loyalty in the state chairman’s race—but with a plurality of votes undeclared. reports Windy March of the Tampa Tribune.

Ausman published his analysis in an email to Democrats late Wednesday night, after Clendenin released a signed endorsement backing him from the DEC members representing the three largest counties—Broward, Miami-Dade and Palm Beach. Story here.

His conclusion: His conclusion: DEC members with 390 votes, or 68 percent, favor Clendenin. Another 183 votes, or 32 percent, are declared for Tant. But 545 votes, or nearly half, remain publicly uncommitted.

Tant backers, including Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz, D-Weston, who’s also national Democratic Party chairman, question whether Clendenin actually will reap all the declared votes, including those of the big southeastern counties.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.