The proposed medical marijuana constitutional amendment would lose by nearly six points if the election were held today, according to an email sent by the Vote No on 2 campaign.
In the latest email to supporters, Vote No on 2 cites a recent Miami Herald poll finding that Amendment 2 — which asks voters to legalize medical marijuana — would receive only 54 percent of the vote in Miami-Dade County, four points less than the 60% required for passage in November.
Miami-Dade is Florida’s most populous county.
Most of the measure’s support is with likely Democratic voters, who solidly back the measure 65-35%, but it is not enough to overcome Republican opposition (63-37%) and soft support of independents (55-45%).
“So what does this all ultimately mean?” asks Vote No on 2 spokesperson Sarah Bascom. “It means that this Amendment is vulnerable and can be defeated, despite the millions of dollars that have already been spent on it.
“It also means that once Floridians start to learn the truth about the Amendment and are educated on the loopholes, support drops.”
Vote No on 2 identified four “loopholes” in the language of Amendment 2, that they could open the door to widespread abuse of medical marijuana statewide, such as the ability of teenagers to get pot without parental consent and the rise of “pot shops,” similar to pill mills that have plagued the state in recent years.
“Election Day is a long way away and the only poll that really matters is taken on Election Day,” concluded Bascom, “but this news is certainly encouraging and proof that we are doing the right thing for Florida.”
Five months can be a lifetime in politics (actually, several lifetimes), but this new data does prove one thing — both sides of the medical marijuana debate have a long, steep road ahead.