Last-minute poll from Quinnipiac: Charlie Crist 42%, Rick Scott 41%

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The Florida governor’s race goes down to the wire, with Democrat Charlie Crist at 42 percent of likely voters to Republican incumbent Gov. Rick Scott’s 41 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Libertarian candidate Adrian Wyllie has 7 percent, with 9 percent undecided the day before election.

This compares to results of an October 30 survey by the independent Quinnipiac University, showing Crist with 43 percent of likely voters to Gov. Scott’s 40 percent, with Wyllie at 8 percent.

With Wyllie out of the race, Crist gets 44 percent to Scott’s 42 percent.

Scott leads Crist among men 47 – 34 percent, with 8 percent for Wyllie, while Crist leads Scott 50 – 35 percent among women, with 6 percent for Wyllie. Independent voters go to Crist 39 – 32 percent, with 16 percent for Wyllie. Republicans back Scott 81 – 8 percent, with 4 percent for Wyllie. Democrats go to Crist 84 – 6 percent, with 2 percent for Wyllie.

Among those who already have voted, Crist gets 44 percent to Scott’s 40 percent.

“After an incredibly expensive, extremely nasty campaign, the Florida governor’s race is too close to call. The winner will be the candidate best able to get his voters to the polls. Turnout, turnout, turnout,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll.

One day before Election Day, 95 percent of voters who name a candidate say their mind is made up, while 5 percent say they might change their mind.

Florida likely voters give Crist a negative 43 – 50 percent favorability rating, compared to Scott’s negative 42 – 49 percent, while 83 percent of likely voters still do not know enough about Wyllie to form an opinion of him.

From October 28 – November 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 817 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including,,, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.