Nate Silver: Is Barack Obama breaking away?

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Far too soon to judge, but this is Nate Silver’s current November 6 projection for the electoral college. There’s been more movement in the past two weeks than in the previous two months. And it’s toward the president. Here’s the Princeton Electoral Vote predicter over the last few weeks as well:

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including,,, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.