Nate Silver offers first forecast for 2012 Florida Senate race, puts it at 60/40 in favor of Bill Nelson

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With Nebraska’s Ben Nelson announcing his retirement, FiveThirtyEight numbers whiz Nate Silver is offering up his first forecast of all of the US Senate races, including Florida’s.

His methodology:

Basically, I

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including,,, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.