Nate Silverdivides the Republican field into the Fairfax Five (seal of approval of the Washington establishment): Pawlenty, Romney, Huntsman, Daniels and Barbour. And the Factional Five: Palin, Ron Paul, Bachmann, Gingrich and Trump. “The Fairfax Five are gaining no ground at all on the Factional Five — in fact, the opposite is true. In an average of four polls of Republican voters conducted in November and December, just after the midterm elections, the Fairfax Five collectively held 27 percent of the vote, to 31 percent for the Factional Five. In the three most recent polls, however, the Fairfax Fives share has declined to 22 percent, while the Factional Five mostly because of Mr. Trump has risen to 44 percent.” Continue reading Silver’s analysis here.