It’s not often that pollsters include decimal points in their numbers, but the fresh-shave closeness of Florida’s governor’s race warrants doing so.
According to the final survey from St. Pete Polls, taken Sunday, November 2, incumbent Rick Scott and Charlie Crist are deadlocked at 45 percent each. Actually, make that 45.5 percent each after including which way undecided respondents are leaning. Libertarian Adrian Wyllie is polling at 6 percent. Three percent of voters say they are undecided.
Here’s where it gets really interesting: 58 percent of respondent said they have already voted, while 42 percent say they will cast their ballot on election day. Of these voters, Crist is leading Scott 47 to 46 percent, a stat which would run counter to the early and absentee vote data indicating that the GOP is running well ahead of the Democrats in ballots already cast.
As GOP strategist Rick Wilson reminded me this morning, in a match-up of data vs. polling, go with the data.