Life and politics from the Sunshine State's best city

Tag archive

Salt Shaker

Why the Quinnipiac poll spells T-R-O-U-B-L-E for Bernie Sanders

in Peter/Top Headlines by

As we noted in both salt shaker tests on the two recent Florida polls (Quinnipiac and AIF polls), the method used by Quinnipiac likely favors an outsider insurgent. Why is that? Quinnipiac asked randomly dialed Floridians to indicate first whether or not they were a registered voter, then which party they belonged to and then โ€“ this is the crux โ€“ whether or not they intended to vote. We know, with unquestioned certainty, that respondents exaggerate their propensity to vote.…

Keep Reading

Salt Shaker Test: AIF poll says Donald Trump leads, but โ€ฆ

in Statewide/Top Headlines by

Itโ€™s not every day that we get two similar polls from reputable pollsters. Yesterday was such a day! Early Thursday morning, we got one from Quinnipiac and then a few hours later, Associated Industries of Florida (AIF) released a similar instrument with similar โ€” but different โ€” findings. Whatโ€™s different? Notably, in the Q-Pac poll, Donald Trump leads by an eye-popping 16 points over Marco Rubio, while in the AIF poll, Trump still leads, but by a more manageable 7…

Keep Reading

Go to Top