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Mitch Perry Report for 4.20.16 – Bernie’s chances may have just faded away, but how does Clinton handle him going forward?

in The Bay and the 'Burg/Top Headlines by

It was on May 8, 2008, after the returns from Democratic primary results from North Carolina and Indiana had come in, when the late Tim Russert told viewers that the intense battle between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton was over. “We now know who the Democratic nominee’s going to be, and no one’s going to dispute it,” he said on MSNBC shortly after midnight Eastern time. “Those closest to her will give her a hardheaded analysis, and if they lay…

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Political Ad Watch club unpacks Carlos Beruff’s first TV spot in Senate campaign

in 2017/Top Headlines by

Carlos Beruff’s first TV spot of his Senate campaign falls somewhat short of the mark, at least according to the political pros who make up FloridaPolitics.com’s Political Ad Watch club. In the 30-second “Forget Them,” that began airing statewide earlier this month, the Manatee County developer embraces his outsider position, an issue that has become the cornerstone of Beruff’s campaign. Dressed casually in a button-down shirt and jeans, Beruff is shown stepping out from a dimly lit background as he…

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Today on Context Florida: Jeb Bush’s irrelevancy, grim fact of life, Donald Trump’s narcissism and drug abuse & kids

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Today on Context Florida: Jac VerSteeg wonders if Jeb Bush got up Wednesday and asked, “What can I do to complete my slide toward total irrelevancy?” … “I know. I’ll endorse Ted Cruz for president!” Talk about terrible timing, VerSteeg says. His endorsement, which echoed the earlier backing of Cruz by Mitt Romney, came just as Cruz had uttered one of the stupidest remarks concerning the horrible terrorist attacks in Brussels. Steve Schale points out that terrorism is a grim fact…

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Rick Baker expected to announce soon whether he’s in or out in CD 13 contest

in 2017/Top Headlines by

Rick Baker is still thinking about entering the CD 13 race. The former St. Petersburg Mayor said so last Saturday night at the Pinellas County Republican Lincoln Day Dinner in St. Pete. When asked what his timetable was, Baker replied, “It’s gotta be soon.” Conventional wisdom is that the newly configured district is no longer viable for a Republican after the Florida Supreme Court ordered the Legislature redraw it for violating the Fair Districts constitutional amendments passed in 2010. The addition of…

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Mitch Perry Report for 3.17.16 – Can 2016 begin the decline of negative political advertising?

in The Bay and the 'Burg/Top Headlines by

Negative television advertising against Donald Trump meant nothing in Florida this week. Several Super PACs including American Future Fund, Club for Growth, and Our Principles PAC spent $7.4 million in anti-Trump ads, according to Vox. Meanwhile, native son Marco Rubio spent over $8 million, and got his clock cleaned by the Manhattan mogul. The Trump phenomenon is leading some of the top political consultants in the country to say that this could be the breaking point in the madness that are negative…

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Adam Goodman and Steve Schale agree that a Donald Trump-Hillary Clinton race could be formidable

in 2017/Top Headlines by

Florida Democratic Party strategist Steve Schale and (mostly) Republican media guru Adam Goodman both agreed at a Suncoast Tiger Bay luncheon in St. Petersburg on Wednesday that a Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump general election match-up will be a hotly contested encounter. Much has been made about the wide enthusiasm gap between Republican and Democratic voters through the first six weeks of the 2016 electoral contest, with GOP turnout up an astounding 60 percent from 2008, and the Democrats down nearly 30 percent. But Schale says that what’s…

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Five questions for Adam Goodman and Steve Schale at Wednesday’s Tiger Bay meeting in St. Pete

in The Bay and the 'Burg/Top Headlines by

Two of the most astute observers (and participants) in Florida politics are Steve Schale and Adam Goodman. In recent years, Schale, the Democrat from Jacksonville and Goodman, a Republican from Tampa (or has he moved to St. Petersburg yet?) have sat down before audiences to give their breakdowns on the state of Florida politics, and it’s always a treat for political junkies. The two men bring that roadshow to St. Petersburg on Wednesday afternoon, where they’re scheduled to breakdown the results of Florida’s…

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