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Associated Industries of Florida’s political shop foresees under 20% primary turnout

in Statewide/Top Headlines by

A tout sheet circulated by Associated Industries of Florida shows internal projections of just under 20 percent turnout for today’s primary election.

“We … believe statewide turnout is headed to 19-20% or close to 2.5 million total votes,” writes Ryan Tyson, AIF’s Vice President of Political Operations.

To be precise, Tyson and Co. are predicting 2,425,718 votes cast out of 12,370,930 registered voters, for a percentage of 19.6 percent.

To compare, the 2014 primary saw 18 percent overall turnout and 2012’s primary had about 21 percent.

For this year, AIF’s number crunchers project 28 percent Republican turnout, 20 percent Democratic, and 9 percent “other.”

“… All indicators seem to suggest we are headed for a usual, low turnout primary election,” the sheet said.

More than 1.75 million ballots have been cast, both vote by mail and early voting, state records show.

Before joining Florida Politics, journalist and attorney James Rosica was state government reporter for The Tampa Tribune. He attended journalism school in Washington, D.C., working at dailies and weekly papers in Philadelphia after graduation. Rosica joined the Tallahassee Democrat in 1997, later moving to the courts beat, where he reported on the 2000 presidential recount. In 2005, Rosica left journalism to attend law school in Philadelphia, afterwards working part time for a public-interest law firm. Returning to writing, he covered three legislative sessions in Tallahassee for The Associated Press, before joining the Tribune’s re-opened Tallahassee bureau in 2013. He can be reached at [email protected].

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