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Salt Shaker Test

Salt Shaker Test: Quinnipiac showing Donald Trump/Hillary Clinton dead heat

in 2017/Top Headlines by

How do we interpret the latest offering from Quinnipiac University showing Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton in a dead heat? For those who do not know me or what I look like, allow me to offer you a brief description. I am about 6” tall, have killer abs, a full head of hair and possessed with disarmingly good looks. Think George Clooney meets David Beckham. Actually, that’s what I would LIKE to look like. But I don’t. Think Michael Smerconish meets, well, someone who looks a…

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Salt Shaker Test on the new Monmouth poll: Donald Trump’s lead back down to earth

in 2017/Top Headlines by

A pattern is forming here. According to the last rounds of polls, Donald Trump’s lead in the upcoming GOP primary appears to be larger in polls conducted via auto-dialers (a.k.a. IVR technology) than those conducted via live operators. We saw late last month where the Quinnipiac numbers showed Trump up by a very strong 20 points over Marco Rubio while the AIF poll had it much closer at 7 points. The difference? Q-pac was an IVR poll while AIF’s poll was conducted using live…

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Today on Context Florida: Marco Rubio, education bang-for-buck, unlikely alliances, OMG moments and the Salt Shaker Test

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Today on Context Florida: Marco Rubio poses as a national security expert. Perhaps among the Republican contenders, he’s the closest thing they’ve got. In which case, Jac VerSteeg says, God help us all. A Washington Post story over the weekend indicates that Rubio’s interest in national security was just a pose from the beginning. As a rising star in the Florida House, Rubio lobbied hard for a spot on an elite committee to frame the state’s response to 9/11. Then, “He…

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Today on Context Florida: John Roberts, educational uniformity, Martin Shkreli’s mother, civil forfeiture and voter enthusiasm

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Today on Context Florida: Martin Dyckman says U.S. Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts has hurt minorities, consumers, and democracy. His reputation as a harsh critic of the Voting Rights Act and an advocate for corporations preceded Roberts to his confirmation hearing before the Senate Judiciary Committee in September 2005. As chief justice, he said, he would be like a baseball umpire impartially calling balls and strikes. “Umpires don’t make the rules. They apply them,” he testified. ” … I come…

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Today on Context Florida: Fracking, U.S. Therapist General, delayed justice and the latest Salt Shaker Test

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Today on Context Florida: Sarah Maricle Ayers warns that Floridians should weigh facts on fracking before banning its benefits. The exciting energy frontier that hydraulic fracturing represents is one of the best-kept secrets in Florida. The process consists of blasting a water, chemical, and proppant solution under high pressure to create fissures in rocks, which then allows the release of the oil and hydrocarbons locked within. Current dialogue, unfortunately, ignores the tremendous benefits offered by fracking, and raised awareness is desperately…

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Salt Shaker Test applied to latest Florida GOP PPP poll

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It was trumpeted (pun intended) as an “Exclusive Poll” for Bay News 9, and it showed Trump so far in the lead we just had to scratch our heads. Anytime you have an outlier poll with unusual findings it is vital that you turn a skeptical eye to the results – and so we did. SurveyUSA conducted the poll, and they used what our lawyers will advise us to call, “an interesting methodology.” Although the Bay News 9 release says…

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Today on Context Florida: Bear meat & Whole Foods, GOP bluster, bizarre politics and the Salt Shaker Test

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Today on Context Florida: Doing research about Florida’s “astonishingly efficient” bear hunt, Tom O’Hara came across an equally astonishing analogy. The chairman of the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission wrote this about hunting: “Hunting is the first and original organic and natural grocery store, offering locally-grown and harvested protein from the land. Think of it as nature’s Whole Foods. Health-conscious families value living off the land.” But after some investigation, O’Hara learned the analogy isn’t quite appropriate. Republican antics may…

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