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New Gallup poll labels Florida ‘leaning Democratic’ — tell that to Republican Governor and Republican Legislature

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According to a new Gallup survey of each states’ residents’ stated political affiliations, Florida is among 10 states considered to be Democratic leaning, in which the state’s Democratic supporters outnumber Republican supporters by at least 5 percentage points but less than 10 points. Florida is “Democratic leaning”??? Tell that to the Republican Governor and to the Republican U.S. Senator, tell that to the Republican candidate for Governor who is leading the Democrat by 11 points, tell that to the two…

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The problem with the Rasmussen poll showing Marco Rubio ahead of Charlie Crist

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Excerpted from Nate Silver of 538.com: As many people have noticed, Rasmussen’s polls this year have tended to be more favorable to Republican candidates and causes than those of most other polling outfits. This does not necessarily imply bias. It could result from a whole number of things, ranging from the fact that they’re applying a likely voter screen when most other pollsters aren’t, to some sort of methodological quirk, to the fact that they’re just doggone right. But the…

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Exclusive: Rick Baker’s endorsement doesn’t mean much, according to SP voter survey

in The Bay and the 'Burg by

The Times isn’t the only place for exclusive polling information. I’ve obtained a copy of a comprehensive survey of 400 registered St. Petersburg voters. I’ll be sharing the results of this survey throughout the week. One of the first kernels of knowledge I gleamed from the poll was the low opinion voters in Midtown and other neighborhoods south of Central Avenue hold of Rick Baker’s political judgment. Despite eight years of focusing his attention on improving the Southside, Rick Baker’s…

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